Zambia’s election is crucial, but it’s not a fair fight

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Zambia’s election is crucial, but it’s not a fair fight
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Western countries should warn against violence and put pressure on the electoral commission to allow independent monitors to observe voting and vote-counting next week

How things have changed. Since it took office in 2011 the Patriotic Front has failed Zambians. In particular, under Edgar Lungu, president since 2015, corruption, human-rights abuses and poverty have all spread. Thehas increased external debt at least sevenfold, with loans spent on graft-ridden Chinese-built infrastructure. In June Amnesty International reported an “increasingly brutal crackdown” on opponents of the regime.

All of which explains why the forthcoming elections matter. On August 12th Zambians should do as they did in 1991 and 2011—vote out the incumbent president. The main opposition candidate, Hakainde Hichilema, would be a huge improvement on Mr Lungu. The businessman promises to clamp down on graft, open serious talks with the’s punitive policies of heavily taxing and seizing mines. Zambians seem to like his ideas.

and the internet shut off. Whether the declared outcome is an outright victory for one candidate or a run-off if no one gets over 50%, Zambia could see legal challenges, protests and blood on the streets. Outsiders must hope for the best and prepare for the worst. Unfortunately, when it comes to criticising their peers’ elections, African countries are as toothless as an anteater. China, for all its pontificating about non-interference, usually backs the incumbent; the Chinese ambassador spoke warmly of theat the party conference at which it nominated Mr Lungu as its candidate, in April.

Mr Hichilema has highlighted the stakes in the election. It could be the difference, he says, between recovery and “Zambia deteriorating into a broken economy and failed state”. Zambians should heed his warning. So should the rest of the world.This article appeared in the Leaders section of the print edition under the headline "Zambia’s crucial election"

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