USD/CAD eyes a bumpy ride as BOC-Fed policy divergence sets to expand ahead

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USD/CAD eyes a bumpy ride as BOC-Fed policy divergence sets to expand ahead
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USD/CAD eyes a bumpy ride as BOC-Fed policy divergence sets to expand ahead – by Sagar_Dua24 USDCAD SEO Fed BOC DollarIndex

prices and better-than-projected payroll data. Oil prices recovered sharply amid multiple tailwinds. Easing lockdown curbs in China and upbeats US Nonfarm Payrolls data strengthened global economic projections. It is worth noting that Canada is a leading oil exporter to the United States economy and solid oil prices support the Canadian Dollar.

The Canadian economy added 10.1K jobs in November vs. the projections of 5K. Also, the Unemployment Rate has eased to 5.1% against the projections of 5.3%. This is going to delight the Bank of Canada to announce a higher rate hike in its mission of bringing price stability.Canada’s inflation rate remained unchanged in October at 6.9%, which indicates that the Bank of Canada is required to continue its policy tightening measures further to curtail inflationary pressures.

A 50 bps rate hike by the Bank of Canada will accelerate the interest rate to 4.25%. This is going to widen the BOC-Fed policy divergence, which is impacting the Loonie asset for now.USD/CAD is at a make or a break near the edge of the upward-sloping trendline of the Ascending Trianglepattern on a four-hour scale. The upward-sloping trendline of the chart pattern is placed from November 16 low at 1.3228 while the horizontal resistance is plotted from November 10 high at 1.3571.

The Loonie asset has dropped below the 50-and 200-period Exponential Moving Averages at 1.3436 and 1.3459 respectively, which indicates that the short-term and long-term trend is bearish. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index is hovering around 40.00. A breakdown of the same will trigger a bearish momentum.

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