A muted response to the United Auto Workers strike from Republicans and President Donald Trump reflects the tricky politics of labor for the GOP.
Although union members have historically supported Democrats, Trump’s promises to rewrite free trade agreements appeared to resonate with many in manufacturing areas. Nationally, union members were just slightly more likely than other voters to support Democrats in 2018, when the party gained control of the House. Six in 10 union voters supported Democratic candidates in House races, according to AP VoteCast, a survey of more than 115,000 midterm voters nationwide.
“If this strike goes into a second week, you’re going to see parts of Michigan go into a recession,” said Patrick Anderson, CEO of the Anderson Economic Group, an East Lansing-based consulting firm whose work includes analyzing the auto industry. “Parts of Michigan are feeling it today. You’re already seeing losses in income and people cutting back on their spending.”
“That fits his electoral victory path, and it fits his policy positions on trade,” he said. “He’s walking a more careful path rhetorically for now. But if he decides on any given day that it’s time to jump in with both feet, we shouldn’t be surprised that he does.”
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