A second term for Jair Bolsonaro, who spreads misinformation and undermines trust in democracy, would be bad for Brazil and the world. Only Lula can prevent it. Claiming the centre ground is the best way to do so
, but it may be that many are “shy”, or suspicious of pollsters and reluctant to share their views with them.) The two candidates will face a run-off on October 30th, and Brazil faces a further month of polarisation.
Yet despite Mr Bolsonaro’s manifest unfitness for high office, Lula is only a few points ahead. Much of this comes down to two reasonable fears about Lula: that he may be too soft on corruption, andLula spent 18 months in prison for taking bribes and was freed in 2019 after his convictions were overturned. He maintains his innocence.
To convince swing voters that he can be trusted with their future prosperity, he should move closer to the centre. He should publicly name a moderate economist as his pick for finance minister. He should reassure farmers that he will not tolerate land invasions organised by social movements close to his party. He should promise not to nationalise any industries. He should stop toying with the dangerous idea of interfering with Brazil’s media freedom.
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