The run-off will test Brazil’s institutions, especially if Lula ends up winning by a narrow margin and Jair Bolsonaro refuses to accept the result
, the hard-right populist incumbent, won 43%. The pair will face each other in a run-off on October 30th.
The polarised campaign turned largely on which candidate Brazilians disliked least. Many blame Mr Bolsonaro for mishandling the pandemic, for his crude attacks on opponents and for a generally lacklustre economic record during his term. Many others blame Lula and his Workers’ Party . Lula spent 18 months in jail on convictions of receiving bribes, though they were later overturned. At one point, 38% of Brazilians said they didn’t want either Mr Bolsonaro or Lula as president.
Nearby, a group of Bolsonaro supporters echoed the president’s claims that Lula would “close churches” and “implement communism” if elected. “Lula has no chance,” said Cleiton Moseli, who was so certain that Mr Bolsonaro would win in the first round that he made a bet with a Lula supporter: three cases of beer. Should Lula win, he said, it would be proof of “manipulation” and he would protest.
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