Phase One Trade Deal Seems Totally Dependent On China

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Phase One Trade Deal Seems Totally Dependent On China
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Does this China phase one mini-deal inspire any confidence? Lighthizer says if it fails, blame Beijing.

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Xi Jinping is in charge here. If he wants the hardliners to rule the day, they will. If he wants a more moderate or reform-minded group within the Communist Party to rule, then they will.“We don’t actually know what’s up yet with this trade deal,” says Morgan Harting, a fund manager for Alliance Bernstein. “My inclination is to pay attention to the actual announced policies. Until I see it in something like the Federal Register, then I won’t know what the facts of this deal are.

“Maybe if this includes energy exports,” says Craig Allen, the Council’s president, thinking out loud. Markets are semi-euphoric about no December tariffs and a rollback of some existing tariffs 30 days after the deal gets signed next month, but risks remain. The phase one trade deal is on a razor’s edge.

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