No, Russia is not going to launch a mass invasion of Ukraine

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No, Russia is not going to launch a mass invasion of Ukraine
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“Invading, defeating, and swiftly occupying Ukraine…would require a massive, multilayered military action equal to the scale of the Iraq War of 2003 or even greater” Opinion | IAPonomarenko

It’s the second time in the year 2021 that we, in Kiev, have this doomsday feeling as nearly 100,000 Russian troops surround the country. It’s all over the news now. The Kremlin’s warlike rhetoric, the satellite pictures, the maps predicting key attack directions.

Invading, defeating, and swiftly occupying Ukraine for the sake of forcing its political leadership into a political deal would require a massive, multilayered military action equal to the scale of the Iraq War of 2003 or even greater. Putin doesn’t want the West to send any military instructors or sell Ukraine any weapons, or establish any sort of military infrastructure in Ukraine.

In other words, for the first time in years, the Kremlin has managed to resume dialogue with the West regarding Russia’s “red lines” in Eastern Europe, particularly Ukraine, and its exclusive sphere of influence. And besides, in many ways, the ongoing war scare in Europe serves the Russian regime well. It’s all about what the Russian audience is currently seeing on their TV screens. The motherland is in danger again, a great war is coming again, brace yourself and stay united behind the national leader. Meanwhile, the Russian economy is plummeting, and Putin is facing yet another presidential campaign in less than two years.

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