Joe Biden has threatened retribution if Russian troops currently massing on Ukraine’s borders launched an invasion
WHEN JOE BIDEN met Vladimir Putin in Geneva last June, he spoke of his desire for “stable and predictable relations” with Russia and highlighted the many areas in which the two could co-operate, not least on nuclear weapons and terrorism. This time, in a two-hour video call, Mr Biden warned his Russian counterpart, threatening retribution if Russian troops currently massing on Ukraine’s borders launched an invasion.
Mr Sullivan did not spell out whether the sanctions would include the “nuclear option” of cutting Russia off from the Western financial networks, notably the SWIFT system of financial transfers. He did, though, raise the prospect of asking Germany to halt the opening of Nord Stream 2, a pipeline built to pump Russian gas to Europe. Asked whether the world was safer after the summit, Mr Sullivan did not offer much reassurance.
The real problem for Mr Putin may be less Ukraine joining NATO than NATO helping Ukraine, says Eugene Rumer of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, a think-tank.
If Mr Putin cannot actually reclaim Ukraine as part of Russia, then he may settle for its “Finlandisation”, ie, turning it into a cold-war-style neutral buffer state. “Putin does not necessarily have an end state in mind,” says Kurt Volker, a former special envoy to Ukraine under the administration of Donald Trump. “He wants to create positions of power, create opportunities and exploit them.
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