General Haftar’s offensive is starting to look like a major miscalculation
supposed to be a rare moment of cautious optimism in Libya. On April 4th António Guterres, the’s secretary-general, arrived in Tripoli, the capital, to prepare for a peace conference which, he hoped, would lead to long-delayed elections later this year. But hours after he arrived Khalifa Haftar, the warlord who controls much of the country, launched an offensive to seize the city. At times his self-styled Libyan National Army has reached within 10km or so of Tripoli’s centre.
Grabbing all the west will not be so easy. Militias from the port city of Misrata have vowed to block the’s advance. One contingent has deployed to reinforce Tripoli. Another is preparing a counter-offensive to the south and east. The Misratans are the strongest force in western Libya and won a decisive victory over Islamic State in 2016. They resent General Haftar’s ambitions and are linked to the government in Tripoli through the interior minister, Fathi Bashagha, a Misratan.
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