Chances are Joe Biden or Donald Trump will be elected a year from now. But it would be foolish to dismiss what the polls are telling us: Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is polling higher than any independent or third-party candidate in a generation.
There are few things you can be more certain of in life than a Democrat or a Republican winning a US presidential election. We don’t usually do third parties or independents in this country. Chances are Democrat Joe Biden or Republican Donald Trump will be elected a year from now. But it would be foolish to dismiss what the current polls are telling us: Independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is polling higher than any independent or third-party candidate in a generation.
If the final results matched those polls, Trump would win the election. But when Kennedy was introduced as an option among likely voters, Trump was ahead of Biden in only two states . His 5-point leads in Arizona and Pennsylvania disappeared into ties. Biden held a well-within-the-margin-of-error edge in Pennsylvania, while the two were tied in Michigan. Put another way, a clear Trump polling lead became a jumbled mess with no clear favorite to win in the Electoral College thanks to Kennedy.
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