In India, all eyes on a monsoon that is critical for the economy by Rajendra1857 More Monsoon coverage:
MUMBAI - India’s monsoon has progressed more slowly than usual after hitting Kerala nearly a week late. Monsoon rains have been 44% lower-than-average so far in June, delaying the sowing of summer-sown crops and raising concerns that parts of the country could face a worsening drought.
The India Meteorological Department has forecast average rainfall in 2019, while the country’s only private forecaster Skymet has predicted below-normal rainfall.A normal, or average, monsoon means rainfall between 96% and 104% of a 50-year average of 89 cm in total during the four-month monsoon season from June to September, according to the IMD’s classification.
The monsoon season starts with rains on the southern Kerala coast around June 1, and usually covers the country by the middle of July.The monsoon arrived in Kerala on June 8 versus the usual June 1. However, Cyclone Vayu developed in the Arabian Sea and that drew moisture from the monsoon and weakened its progress. The monsoon typically covers half of India by mid-June but this year has covered just a quarter of the country.
India is self-sufficient in rice and wheat, but a drought would increases imports of pulses and edible oils, such as palm oil, soyoil and sunflower oil. Monsoon rains replenish reservoirs and groundwater, allowing better irrigation and more hydropower output. Higher rainfall can trim demand for subsidised diesel, which is used to pump wells for irrigation.Modi has promised to double farmers’ income over five years and promised to boost the economy.
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