Analysis: Without immigrants, Trump’s jobs numbers would be much, much worse
Russell Vought, acting director of the Office of Management and Budget, listens as White House press secretary Sarah Sanders speaks during a news briefing Monday.
Or, for that matter, that much of the debt added under Obama came when employment was actually suffering in the United States. Trump actually added debt at a faster rate during his first two years in office than Obama did in his last two. When Obama took office, the unemployment rate was 7.8 percent, in the middle of a climb that would eventually peak at 10 percent. The peak unemployment Trump has seen has been 4.7 percent — where it was when he took over.
It’s not as though the job numbers under Trump suddenly became exceptional. He was inaugurated in January 2017, indicated on the chart below by a vertical line. The trend since mid-2011 has been pretty consistent, continuing into Trump’s presidency.When Trump has in the past crowed about the record number of Americans working, we’ve pointed out that there are also a record number of Americans. As the population has increased, the number of people working has increased.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics doesn’t release seasonally adjusted data on foreign-born employment every month, but it does release an annual summary. The most recent, published in May, found that about 17 percent of people working in the United States were born outside the country, a bit over 1 in 6. The unemployment rate among immigrants, in fact, is lower than that of native-born Americans. On that scale, the increase is hard to pick out.
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