About three weeks after President Trump first declared a national emergency to unlock funds for his border wall, prompting a slew of lawsuits and a vote in Congress to block it, U.S. Customs and Border Protection released new border apprehension data that seemed, on its face, to be exactly what he needed
. According to CBP, the number of people arrested for illegally crossing the border rose from 47,986 in January to 66,450 in February.
Both the numbers themselves and their use to justify Trump’s declaration have elicited skepticism from outside experts, who question whether the increase in illegal crossings was an unintended consequence of the administration’s policies — or even an intended one. The organization won a court order to delay implementing some of Trump’s policies, such as the ban on processing asylum applications from people who cross the border illegally. But the administration has continued to pursue other policies and procedures that effectively restrict access to the asylum process.
Aaron Reichlin-Melnick, a policy analyst for the American Immigration Council, agreed that the Trump administration’s efforts to keep asylum seekers waiting in Mexico have likely had an impact on the recent apprehension numbers. “The data show people simply don’t feel safe at the border, and when they don’t feel safe and are told it’s going to be an unknown period of time until you can enter [the U.S.], people often make the difficult decision to cross the border illegally rather than risk their lives waiting in Mexico,” said Reichlin-Melnick.
Immigrant rights advocates and vocal opponents of the administration’s policies on asylum aren’t the only ones skeptical of Trump’s attempt to spin the latest apprehension figures.
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