Market Overview Analysis by Lance Roberts covering: S&P 500, iShares Core S&P 500 ETF, SPDR® S&P 500, S&P 500 Futures. Read Lance Roberts's latest article on Investing.com
“On the eve of recessions in 1990, 2001, and 2007, many Wall Street economists proclaimed the U.S. was on the cusp of achieving a soft landing, in which interest-rate increases corralled inflation without causing a recession.” – Nick Timaros, WSJhopes among economists and Federal Reserve officials. However, soft landings are elusive as the Fed often holds rates too high for too long. Eventually, something breaks financially, economically, or both, leading to recessions and bear markets.
by the Bureau of Economic Analysis before announcing a recession’s official start. Therefore, the NBER is always 6-12 months late, dating the recession. If you wait for the official announcement by the NBER to confirm a recession, it will be too late. To wit:
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