CAN Labour still lose the next General Election? Or at least, might they gain only a small majority and find it difficult to govern effectively?…
still lose the next General Election? Or at least, might they gain only a small majority and find it difficult to govern effectively? Events over the last week suggest the British political game remains on a knife edge – as much perhaps as the Rugby World Cup final did.
But it is not just Labour insiders who are refusing to follow the Starmer script. A recent YouGov poll showed that 42% of 2019 Labour voters think Sir Keir has handled his response to Gaza conflict badly. Only 26% thought Starmer has handled it well.Certainly, folk are likely to vote with their wallets and purses next year rather than think about the international situation.
In 2019, this had dropped to 78%, as Muslims started to feel Labour was failing to adequately tackle Islamophobia. Recent polling – pre the Gaza crisis – suggests this number may drop to only 38% at the next election. It could drop even further if the community feels alienated by Starmer’s refusal to back a ceasefire.
However, few British Muslims vote Tory, so things might change in the privacy of the voting booth next year. On the other hand, there could be massive abstentions among Muslim voters. Or, in the longer term, we might see the rise of confessional parties, which I think likely.Regardless of where you stand on the Israel-Hamas divide, it is apparent that Keir Starmer did not take any of this predictable reaction into consideration.
Reeves was quick to offer a mea culpa. Firstly, she had never claimed the book was original research. Then why bother? Oh, I forgot: her book is a vanity project designed to prove how economically brainy she is. You are not actually supposed to read it.And secondly, Reeves also admitted that most of her book was the work of paid researchers – which explains why she didn’t top and tail those Wikipedia passages. Not that she is alone in this.
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