Why Twitter underestimates Joe Biden

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Why Twitter underestimates Joe Biden
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Here's how Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden can be doing poorly among the politically vocal on Twitter and well in the real world | Analysis by Harry Enten

Poll of the week: A new Ipsos poll shows that former Vice President Joe Biden leads the Democratic primary race nationwide among Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents with 26%. He's followed by Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders at 19% and Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren at 13%. No other candidate hits double-digits. This was the first national poll taken since California Sen. Kamala Harris suspended her candidacy.

Biden seems to get the ire of a lot of these hashtag users. It shouldn't be too surprising when looking at who Biden's base is. We'll start with the most obvious divide among Democrats: ideology. Biden cruises with moderate and conservative Democrats and struggles more with liberals. In our last two CNN/SSRS polls, moderate and conservative Democrats were a majority . Among the politically vocal on Twitter in that 2018 Pew poll, they were just 35%.

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