Why Dr. Michael Osterholm Says Omicron Will Become Dominant in Weeks

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Why Dr. Michael Osterholm Says Omicron Will Become Dominant in Weeks
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.CIDRAP director mtosterholm on why Omicron will quickly overtake Delta as the dominant variant — and how it's possible Mother Nature could help us out of the pandemic. MrJDWalsh reports

Photo-Illustration: Inteligencer; Photo: CDC Last spring, Dr. Michael Osterholm doubled down on his reputation as COVID’s Dr. Doom and warned that the darkest days of the pandemic still lay ahead, despite vaccination, due to the emergence of new variants. A few months later, his prediction came true with Delta, which has killed more than 100,000 in the U.S. alone. Now Osterholm, director of the Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy at the University of Minnesota, is eyeing Omicron.

Delta has overwhelmed the country. Is that the wave you were predicting when you said we had dark days ahead? As far as long-term impact, at what point will a variant’s severity of illness be a bigger factor than its transmissibility? Much of the coverage of Omicron right now is fixed on relatively small lab studies of vaccine evasion. Isn’t what’s happening on the ground in hospitals in southern Africa more important at this point?

Should we change the definition of fully vaccinated to include only those people who have received three shots?

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