Why Boeing should commit to a new midsize airplane amid the 737 MAX crisis:
, may not be easily be replaced by a 737 MAX or A321LR.
Airbus may have made Boeing’s best argument in favor of the NMA program, by pointing out additional NMA demand from smaller narrowbody replacement. When the European manufacturer said that, they were acknowledging an overlap of demand in aircraft range and capacity that might also bleed orders from the competing A320 program. Airbus’ own argument that the new A321LR variant satisfies a potential NMA market confirms the overlap.
“This is the $64m question,” Schonland says. “I think that the MAX faces an uphill return. Under normal circumstances, Boeing would proceed with 797, but it’s clear the case for 797 is tough. Boeing has taken a long time to get here. It would seem that the 787 delays have trickled down a long way. Last year, at the Farnborough Airshow, GE made the argument that the market extent [for the NMA] was a question.
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