That collective choice by black voters so far in this campaign has been one of the most misunderstood dynamics of the Democratic primary
Buried inside a midsummer report for Pete Buttigieg’s campaign outlining his own strengths and weaknesses, a few lines crystallized one of the most important developments of the 2020 presidential race: black voters’ relative lack of interest in the black candidates.about Kamala Harris, after interviewing groups of black voters — “but do worry that America won’t elect a black woman.” And for many, Harris’ June debate criticism of Joe Biden on racial issues did not feel sincere.
“The affinity voters in these groups feel for Joe Biden is deep and strong, rooted in his relationship with Barack Obama, who is the ultimate validator,” Buttigieg pollster Katie Connelly wrote in a July report,, that garnered attention for probing how Buttigieg’s sexual orientation was affecting his chase for African American voters. “The power of the Obama association with these voters" was paramount, Connelly added.
Month after month in 2019, campaign strategists, pundits and the political press would believe that connection was fraying on the back of some new development — a mistake that has persisted to this day, as Biden continues to enjoy strong polling in South Carolina. Harris has placed no higher than third among black voters in POLITICO/Morning Consult polls since August, behind Biden and Bernie Sanders, and she trailed Elizabeth Warren in fourth in more recent surveys, including aBooker, too, has consistently polled under 5 percent among black voters in most national polls, and he has not broken much above that threshold since his entry into the presidential race in February.
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