Some experts say the coronavirus death toll in America could turn to six figures in late May.
Looking at the numbers through the prism of state death totals presents a worrisome picture of the past few weeks. New Jersey reported a new single-day fatality high of 460 deaths on Thursday. And Massachusetts added 1,000 new deaths in five days this week as the pandemic peaks in that state.
The IHME model, which has predicted at most 93,000 deaths, uses mobility data gathered from four companies, including Google and Facebook. After adding recently available numbers for presumptive deaths – those not tested but believed to have been killed by the virus – the model’s forecast rose from 67,000-plus deaths to 72,000-plus.
“We are seeing an increase in mobility, but remember, when they ease the restrictions, say in Georgia or in Texas or in Florida, people are not going to go back to what we call normal,’’ Mokdad said. “They will practice social distancing, they’re going to be wearing masks, they’re going to be afraid. Even when some businesses are opening, many people are not going.’’
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