'By injecting himself into the middle of this intra-party fight, Trump looked to send a message to the considerable portion of the GOP base that remains loyal to him.' More from danschnur in our Perspectives section:
to his longtime foe Donald Trump as a result of the White House’s clumsy handling of the discovery of confidential documents in non-secured locations. The mishap seemed to have eliminated the political vulnerability of Donald Trump’s similar but not identical experience, after the trove of sensitive information with him to Mar-a-Lago when he left the presidency in early 2021 had become the focus of an FBI investigation.
But now Trump has returned the unintentional favor and thrown that life preserver right back to Biden. Last Friday, Trumpon social media in which he warned congressional Republicans not to reduce spending on Social Security and Medicare as part of this year’s budget fight. In doing so, he cut the legs out from under House Speaker Kevin McCarthy and provided Biden with an immense advantage in the upcoming negotiations.
From the beginning, Biden and his Democratic allies have bet that once Republicans were forced to identify the programs they would cut as part of their budget proposal, voters would be so upset by those specifics that the GOP would be forced to back down.
The vast amounts of money spent on Social Security and Medicare are a perennial point of disagreement among conservative budget cutters, and the math is unforgiving. Thirty percent of the federal budget is now consumed by those two programs, and the rapidly aging U.S. population means that those numbers will continue to grow in the years ahead.
By injecting himself into the middle of this intra-party fight, Trump has sent a message to the considerable portion of the GOP base that remains loyal to him that these two programs are off the table. His supporters’ opposition to these cuts will force House Republicans to either reduce defense spending, eliminate other popular domestic programs, or back down from the debt limit fight altogether. Of those three options, the latter is by far the least politically damaging.
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