The strongest reason for America’s caution is the fear of escalation—that Russia might lash out militarily at NATO or resort to chemical or nuclear weapons in Ukraine
-16 fighter jets may come one day.
On the day he invaded Ukraine Mr Putin threatened outsiders thinking of intervening with immediate consequences “such as you have never seen in your entire history”. State media in Russia fantasise luridly about nuclear strikes on the West. For now, though, America says there is no sign that Russia has put its nuclear forces on higher alert. America and Russia stillabout their long-range nukes. On August 1st Mr Biden called on Russia to resume arms-control talks.
Cold-war history suggests that countries can go a long way in waging proxy wars against nuclear powers without atomic retribution .
In truth, nobody knows where Mr Putin’s red lines lie. Perhaps not even he does. America has stopped talking of helping Ukraine “win” and of weakening Russia. Instead it speaks of ensuring Ukraine does not lose. In an op-ed for thein May Mr Biden listed many things America would not do. It would not seek to unseat Mr Putin. It would not send troops to Ukraine or fight against Russia. It would not encourage or enable Ukraine to strike at Russia.
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