The departure of John Bolton is a statement of presidential intent
years President Donald Trump’s foreign policy has seesawed between threats to bomb enemies and moon-shot diplomacy. The president has flirted with nuclear war with North Korea, only to become the first sitting president to step onto its soil. He has strangled Iran’s economy and ordered bombers into the air, then offered talks. A troop surge in Afghanistan gave way to a proposed summit with the Taliban.
Mr Trump sees economic and military muscle-flexing as part of a bargaining process in which foes morph quickly into interlocutors; Mr Bolton would settle for nothing less than their surrender. He forcefully opposed Mr Trump’s proposal to ease sanctions against Iran in order to secure a meeting with Hassan Rouhani, Iran’s president.
Although Mr Trump said that talks with the Taliban were “dead”, they may well be resuscitated. It is hard to know why they collapsed. Perhaps because the president saw a deficiency in the agreement, or because of insurgent violence—which has killed thousands of Afghans since talks began—perhaps because an American soldier was killed at an inopportune moment or because of the poor optics of hosting the Taliban at Camp David the weekend before September 11th.
Here, Mr Trump might see arms control as an opportunity. Mr Bolton, a veteran saboteur of nuclear diplomacy, urged the president to quit the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces treaty and played down the prospects that New, the linchpin of arms control between America and Russia, would be renewed in 2021. Though theMr Bolton’s departure leaves Mr Pompeo as the administration’s dominant foreign-policy voice.
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