The spillover effects of a civil war should incentivise international stakeholders in the current Afghan conflict to seek and execute a peace process Opinion | ObaidullaBaheer
The absence of a roadmap for peace has meant that meetings have resulted in general
The current conflict, by virtue of being a proxy conflict between regional players, means that only a proposal that guarantees their interests would have any hope of being accepted. The mediators would have to facilitate a process of negotiations among regional powers to produce a conclusive proposal that balances out interests and prevent any country from serving as a spoiler in the process.
The military stalemate would be the best possible outcome for the Afghan Republic, but it seems to be the least likely one, judging by the current trajectory of the war.In an ideal situation, a peace proposal should be produced within Afghanistan, one that reflects the will of the people. However, the reality of the war demands that the parties attempt to avoid further bloodshed and meet halfway through a political settlement.
Taking over Kabul for the Taliban and a stalemate for the current Afghan regime might be attractive options, but their cost and likelihood should drive them towards the safer option of honest negotiations and ending the fighting.
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