We asked Democratic activists who they’re backing—and who they’d hate to see win. Via FiveThirtyEight:
, like her defense of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad and her past social conservatism on issues like abortion and same-sex marriage, Rep. Tulsi Gabbard is at the top of the list. But Sanders was a close second, with half of respondents saying they do not want to see him become the nominee. Remember, Sanders also has one of the largest numbers of committed supporters, so his candidacy looks to be pretty factional within the party, suggesting that his potential for growth may be limited.
But although a few candidates drew strong opposition, many supporters of the top-tier candidates were comfortable with the possibility of other top-tier candidates getting the nomination. About one-fifth of people who were at least considering Booker, for example, would have a problem with Warren or Sen. Amy Klobuchar as the nominee.
Again, it’s good to not get ahead of ourselves — we’re still more than nine months away from any actual voting in this contest. My June survey will come out shortly before and should provide a sense of how these activists and others like them have helped shape the field prior to its most visible event yet.Although Washington’s primary election is neither early nor pivotal, I chose to interview activists from this area because of their proximity to much early candidate activity and the heavy media saturation of the area with early nomination coverage.
Sanders had five backers in the previous round of interviews, but one of his supporters did not reply to the most recent round.Specifically, I asked respondents, “Which, if any, of the following candidates are you considering supporting for the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination?” I provided respondents with a randomized list of the 17 most commonly mentioned presidential candidates in a
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