The Oscars are almost here, so it's time for one last round of predictions
1917 versus Parasite: A battle of consensus versus passion. Photo-Illustration: Vulture and Photos by Storyteller Distribution Co., LLC and NEON We’ve come yet again to the end of awards season, with the disorienting twist that it’s all happening about three weeks earlier than usual this year.
So the race comes down to a battle of consensus versus passion. My head says 1917, my heart says Parasite. If you’ve got money on the line, go with the Brits; the preferential ballot is set up to reward films with the least amount of last-place votes. But me, I’d rather be wrong and interesting than right and boring. Parasite it is.
Best Supporting Actor Photo: Andrew Cooper/Sony Pictures Tom Hanks, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood Brad Pitt, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood Erivo EGOT-ing thanks to her Song nomination would be fun, but this one seems poised to go to Elton John and Bernie Taupin, especially as the longtime collaborators made such a big point at the Globes about never having won a major prize together before. Honor the friendship, honor the song!Alexandre Desplat, Little WomenAfter her Globes win, Guðnadóttir has the momentum. After more than a dozen nominations without a win, Thomas Newman has the narrative.
A tough category to figure out. Jojo Rabbit was the only nominee to win anything at the Costume Designers Guild Awards, but that group’s picks overlap with Oscar less than others’ do. The Academy does love frocks in Costume, which could be cause for Little Women to finally win something, but they also love to reward iconic getups, and nothing in this category can beat Joaquin Phoenix’s instantly recognizable maroon suit. I think Joker gets its third.
Best Sound Editing Photo: François Duhamel/Universal Pictures and DreamWorks Pictures Donald Sylvester, Ford v FerrariWylie Stateman, Once Upon a Time in HollywoodEvery year in this paragraph of Oscar predictions, pundits note that many Academy members don’t know the difference between the two Sound categories, and patiently explain that Editing rewards the creation of individual sounds, while Mixing rewards the overall sonic landscape.
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