The Tories say a vote for the Lib Dems is a vote for Corbyn, while Labour claims a vote for them gets you Brexit. Data prove both wrong ahead of Britain's general election
only view shared by Britain’s big parties is that backing the Liberal Democrats is a dire risk. “A vote for the Lib Dems gets you Brexit,” Labour warns. “A vote for the Lib Dems risks putting Corbyn in Downing Street,” claim the Tories.
With Labour neutral on Brexit, the Lib Dems are the main national pro-Remain party. Voters have noticed. YouGov’s data show that the few Leavers who backed the Lib Dems in 2017 largely plan to defect. But the party should pick up a fifth of the Remainers who voted Conservative last time, and 13% of Remain-supporting Labourites.
Jo Swinson’s party has fallen back in recent polls. However, late surges are common in British elections, particularly when tactical voting is widespread. How might the race change if the Lib Dems approach the 23% vote share they won in 2010? In terms of winning seats in England for themselves, the Lib Dems pose a serious threat only to the Tories. There are 13 seats in which those two parties are the front-runners and are separated by a single-digit margin. Between the Lib Dems and Labour, the only close fight is in Sheffield Hallam.
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