Utah continues to have the largest population percentage of children in the nation; however, its percentage continues to decline, matching trends in other states.
While Utah's percentage is nearly 3 percentage points ahead of any other state in the nation, it's also a decrease of 1.4 percentage points from the 2020 Census and 3.9 percentage points from the 2010 census. The national rate also dropped from 22.2% to 21.7% between the 2021 and 2022 estimates.
"In general, the birth rate is going down historically for a long time," says Mike Hollingshaus, senior demographer at the University of Utah's Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute. "In Utah, especially, it's gone down a lot since around 2008." This ongoing trend has its pros and cons. In theory, it could mean more Utahns are entering the labor force, especially if Utah's 18- to 60-year-old population is growing, Hollingshaus said. On the downside, it could result in rising health care costs, especially as people live longer.
, which estimates that Utah will gain about 284,000 school- and college-age groups by 2060, the slowest increase of any age group projected over the next 40 years.is anticipated to happen in Utah County, while some counties, including Salt Lake, are forecast to lose child population over that time. If the projections hold up, the percentage of Utahns within the K-12 and college system will slip from about 22% to about 15%.
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