US CPI Preview: Inflation Likely to Climb to New 40-Year High

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US CPI Preview: Inflation Likely to Climb to New 40-Year High
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Crypto investors are waiting for U.S. inflation data that could influence the Fed's tightening plans and inject volatility into the market. reports godbole17

U.S. consumer prices probably rose 1.1% in June, pushing the year-on-year change to a four-decade high of 8.8%, FXStreet data show. A reading above that could bring renewed selling pressure to risk assets, including bitcoin.

Fed fund futures show expectations for a 75 basis points rate increase later this month are fully priced in. Traders have also baked in a 50 basis point hike in September and 25 basis points raises in November and December. The central bank has raised rates by 150 basis points to the 1.5%-1.75% range since March.

"We believe it is largely priced in, but any deviation from the forecast will bring huge volatility. Bitcoin has been trading heavily 'risk off' since Sunday in anticipation of macro news this week and is approaching recent support." The monthly U.S. inflation reports have persistently injected volatility into the bitcoin market this year, with above-forecast figures leading to price declines."It’s either a bear-flag or an wedge/consolidation formation [on bitcoin's daily chart] around the monthly open. Either way it does look similar to the May – June [pre-CPI] setup."

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