Throughout the summer, Ukraine has struggled to mount a counteroffensive that could puncture defenses Russia had spent months erecting. Allies watched in frustration as the Ukrainian military used sophisticated weaponry from Western Europe and the United States to seemingly little effect. The Russians were dug in and, it seemed, going nowhere.
of battlefield dynamics, the Institute for the Study of War confirmed that Ukrainian forces had made advances around Verbove but had failed to decisively rout the Russians there.What lies ahead?
Along with Zaporizhzhia, Russia controls three regions in eastern Ukraine: Luhansk, Donetsk and Kherson. Those four territories wereUkrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has said he wants all the land Russia has seized, both in the current war, which began in 2022, and in an initial, more limited foray eight years earlier. To restore Ukraine’s pre-2014 borders, however, Zelensky would have to reclaim the four annexed territories while also retaking the Crimean peninsula.
Few think that the current counteroffensive will achieve such grand ambitions. But some believe that the Ukrainian forces have been underestimated.War does not proceed in a linear fashion," retired Gen. David Petraeus and military scholar Frederick W. Kagan recently."Defenders can hold for a long time and then suddenly break, allowing an attacker to make rapid gains before the defense solidifies further to the rear.
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