Tua Tagovailoa odds, player prop pick, and SGP for Sunday Night Football Week 2 between the Miami Dolphins and New England Patriots
Tagovailoa Over 21.5 completions on SNF, there’s only one place to start and that’s with his arm. Last week against the Chargers, he threw for 466 yards and three touchdowns, with a league-high average of 10.4 yards per pass. I’m expecting another positive week for Tua, although I can’t see him hitting the highs of the opener and I’m more confident in the Patriots defense and their coaching.
We know the Dolphins love to trust Tua and give him loads of attempts to throw the ball. Last week, he had 45 attempts with 28 being caught. Those numbers would need to drop quite substantially for the line to not be met here. As mentioned, I’m expecting the Pats D to be more difficult than the Chargers but this Pats D still let Jalen Hurts get 22 completions on 33 attempts. Now, we know that they’d have been far more worried about Hurts’ legs than they are about Tua's, but they still need to respect the Dolphins ground game even if it’s not Plan A.
The line currently sits on 21.5 and I’d even back this at 22.5 should it rise. Although I’d not want to go any further.
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