Trump’s tariffs are hurting U.S. pig farmers
This story is part of an ongoing series on U.S.-China relations produced jointly by the South China Morning Post and POLITICO, with reporting from Asia and the United States.the epidemic of African swine fever has cut the nation’s pig population in half. Farmers in the United States would, normally, step in to help fill the gap.But in retaliation to the tariffs placed on Chinese imports by President Donald Trump, pork going to China from the U.S.
The longer trade negotiations with China drag on, the more American farmers will see their window of opportunity close as global competitors claim parts of the Chinese market share.By signing up you agree to receive email newsletters or alerts from POLITICO. You can unsubscribe at any time. China already imports more pork than any other country, with the USDA predicting a 41 percent rise in imports, to around 2.2 million tonnes, as a result of African swine fever.
Canada and Brazil are already making inroads in filling that void, with the South American nation already improving its market share in China from 4 percent in 2017 to 13 percent in 2018, the USDA reported. “China’s consumers can use other meat products, or other country’s meat, to replace meat imports from the United States,” Cao added, emphasizing that U.S. pork imports are relatively small and that China will continue to rely mainly on its own domestic supply. “We will never depend too much on imports for any particular product.”
That means major European meat exporters — including those in Spain, Denmark, the Netherlands and Germany — will have an edge over North American providers like Canada and the U.S. “Food prices have a structure, and react to market prices. If the price of pork goes up, so do other meats, but consumers still have choices,” said Feng, adding that he didn’t think pork prices would rise above the 40 yuan per kilogram price of beef last year.
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