The president’s free-wheeling approach and rapid-fire tweets are driving up uncertainty to historic levels
predicts 1.5 percent growth in the third quarter, a figure dragged down by a 2.4 percent drop in nonresidential equipment investment.Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin. | Pablo Martinez Monsivais/AP Photo
The commentary from executives often centers on the uncertain outcome of the tariff battle with China — which heats up and cools off with dizzying frequency — as well as a lack of clarity on where exactly the U.S. economy is going. And some elements of uncertainty have actually faded, including threats of a debt limit breach that plagued the U.S. economy earlier this decade.“The biggest threat to the expansion is certainly trade-related uncertainty,” said Jim O’Sullivan, chief U.S. economist at High Frequency Economics. “But you can’t lay everything at Trump’s feet. It’s hard to disentangle his impact from other forces affecting growth and we are not seeing a collapse yet, just slowing trends.
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