Donald Trump has long heralded Michigan as the crown jewel of his 2016 victory. But the president's campaign team is increasingly grim about a repeat performance.
that propelled him to the presidency has softened, jeopardizing his prospects for a second term. While they say it’s too early to write off Michigan — Trump aides say the campaign still intends to pump resources into the state — a range of“It’ll be tough,” said Greg McNeilly, a veteran GOP strategist in Michigan. Though the president overcame tough odds in 2016, winning the state by 10,704 votes, or less than 1 point, McNeilly expects Democratic turnout to be stronger in 2020.
Trump, Roe argued, has built an enduring connection to blue-collar voters in areas like Macomb County, which the president won in 2016 after Barack Obama carried it four years earlier. The eastern Michigan county, long seen as a bellwether for the state, is the birthplace of so-called Reagan Democrats.
“I think the vice president, as a Midwestern governor, was helpful to the ticket in Midwestern states that flipped in 2016. And I think there’s no doubt he’ll be spending a lot of time here heading into 2020,” said Short. “There will be plenty more trips here in Michigan.” People attend a March rally with President Donald Trump in Grand Rapids, Michigan. | Scott Olson/Getty Imagesat the White House this summer, the president asked advisers for their views on the Democratic contenders. Republican National Committee Chairwoman Ronna McDaniel, a former Michigan GOP leader, said Kamala Harris could pose a threat due her potential appeal in the county.
Others said if Democrats nominate a liberal candidate like Elizabeth Warren or Bernie Sanders, it could risk alienating moderate voters they need to win the state.
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