What will Nicole bring to your area? Winds? Surge? Our forecaster takes a look.
Peak wind gusts of 35 to 50 mph are possible in West Central Florida late Thursday morning into Thursday afternoon, mostly north of Tampa, with low-end tropical storm-force gusts also occurring on the western Gulf Coast between Thursday morning and evening. Should Nicole move into the northeast Gulf, 3 to 5 feet of storm surge would be possible on the Nature Coast as winds flip onshore Thursday afternoon. Storm Surge Warnings are in effect north of the Anclote River.
North Central Florida, including Jacksonville, Lake City, St. Augustine, Gainesville, Daytona Beach, and Ocala: Localized flash flooding is also a concern in North Central Florida, where the heaviest rainfall is expected Thursday morning and intermittent bands will linger through early Friday afternoon. Look for totals of 2-4” in this region, higher along the coast. A few tornadoes are also possible Thursday in outer bands.The aforementioned bump west in Nicole’s track on Thursday makes the biggest difference in impacts in the eastern Panhandle.
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