Tropical Depression Fred is moving away from Hispaniola toward Cuba and could restrengthen some as it tracks toward Florida:
Flooding rainfall and gusty winds could impact Hispaniola, the Bahamas and Cuba through late week.Tropical Depression Fred is back over water near Haiti and Cuba and is expected to remain disorganized over the next day or so, but some strengthening is possible beginning later this week. Florida could see rain and wind impacts from Fred by Friday or this weekend, but details on the magnitude of those threats are still uncertain.
Haiti, the Turks and Caicos, eastern Bahamas and eastern Cuba, are expected to receive 1 to 3 inches of rainfall, with isolated totals of 5 inches. Across the western Bahamas, 3 to 5 inches of rainfall is possible with isolated totals up to 8 inches.The official forecast from the NHC below shows that Fred will move generally west-northwest with a turn more to the northwest over the next few days.
Fred or its remnants could be located near Cuba and the southeast Bahamas Friday, where some slow reorganization of the system might begin. That will depend on several factors, including how much wind shear it encounters as it moves north, how quickly it recovers from land interaction and whether it tracks over water instead of Cuba.
Keep in mind that Fred's forecast is highly subject to change given all of the wind shear, dry air and land interaction obstacles we've described above.
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