Free picks for MLB prop bets on September 2, swinging at today's MLB props and giving our best MLB prop picks, predictions, and baseball bets.
David Peterson has moved from a 60-pitch starter to a 95-pitch starter over his last three turns. He’s pitched well but faced two poor offenses in the Angels and Pirates which padded the stats. Peterson has thrown 104, 93, and 91 pitches over his last three starts and is fully stretched out.
Today, the lefty has to face one of the hottest offenses in baseball in Seattle. He's projected for 98 pitches and has double-digit winds blowing out at Citi Field. It’s going to take a miracle for the New York starter not to give up five hits vs. the Mariners in these conditions if he sees 90+ pitches. There is also the case that the Mariners get to him early but can easily stack five hits before chasing him.
Peterson’s Over 4.5 hits is paying +125 at bet365 and THE BAT is projecting 5.3 hits thanks to a high pitch count, which might not be very priced in. Seattle is a Top 7 team in wOBA and wRC+ over the last 30 days and still managed to get five hits off Kodai Senga last night, who was absolutely dealing with 12 Ks over seven innings.
On the season, Peterson has given up 94 hits over 84 innings and the lefty has a BABIP well above .300 over his last three seasons and 250 innings. Considering the matchup, form, price, and setting, there is a lot to like about Peterson’s Over 4.5 hits allowed at +125.
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