To beat Biden, his rivals must win in Iowa and New Hampshire | Analysis by Harry Enten
Poll of the week: A new Monmouth University Nevada Democratic caucuses poll finds that former Vice President Joe Biden leads with 36%. He was followed by Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren at 19%, Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders at 13%, South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg at 7% and California Sen. Kamala Harris at 6%. The poll was the first high-quality poll taken of the third-in-the-nation Nevada caucuses.
If Biden is able to emerge from the early states with at least one win, it'll be difficult to convince voters in later states to change their minds. This year, especially, Iowa and New Hampshire provide unique and fertile ground to knock the front-runner off his perch. Our CNN/Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll released last weekend of likely Democratic Iowa caucus-goers showed Biden leading the field by 8 points and was at just 24%.
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