AccuWeather took the meteorological community by storm this week, releasing its highly specific outlook for the 2019 tornado season. Some are skeptical.
By Matthew Cappucci February 28 at 11:32 AM AccuWeather projects a higher frequency of severe weather risks in the traditional Tornado Alley this season. The states to be impacted the most will include Oklahoma, Kansas, and parts of Texas and Nebraska: https://t.co/hdZ1T1UngV pic.twitter.com/hpMsEKDSj2
“They are simply being very unscientific,” wrote Scott Feldman, a meteorology graduate from Iowa State University. “There is really no way to know … until a few days before a severe outbreak. It misleads the public into thinking we know more than we do so far in advance.” He said it undermines trust in meteorologists.
Among the leaders in the field of advanced tornado forecasts is John Allen, assistant professor of meteorology at Central Michigan University. He co-authored a paper in 2015 linking U.S. tornado counts to the El Niño/La Niña phase. While “guidance … is feasible at leads up to 5 months,” the article notes “substantial variability … that may not be explainable."
“For the upcoming season, there is a weak El Niño event ongoing, which typically would imply the unstable conditions favorable to tornadoes being less likely over the Great Plains,” Allen said. “In contrast, the Gulf of Mexico is exceptionally warm, which would instead suggest more instability to be available over the U.S. Taken together, this suggests a forecast of mixed signals at best.”
Posted by Meteorologist Evan Andrews on Tuesday, February 26, 2019 The company issued a statement, saying: “AccuWeather is really proud of its 2019 tornado forecast. We have been in the prediction business for 57 years and have found that the powerful combination of utilizing all the tools and reliable indicators available, including the expertise of our over 100 expert meteorologists, results in predictions with the greatest accuracy.
It is not the first time long-range forecasts have landed AccuWeather in the hot seat. It is known for its controversial 90-day forecasts, which calls for a high of 82 degrees and a 16 percent chance of rain on Memorial Day in Washington.
Brasil Últimas Notícias, Brasil Manchetes
Similar News:Você também pode ler notícias semelhantes a esta que coletamos de outras fontes de notícias.
Legendary activist Angela Davis has overcome doubters her whole life — and at 75, she’s still not backing downA recent controversy over her support of Palestinian rights raises questions for a new generation of activists.
Consulte Mais informação »
Show Us Your Climate Risks, Investors Tell CompaniesCompanies are projected to face a record of 75 or more climate-related shareholder proposals this annual-meeting season, up from 17 in 2013
Consulte Mais informação »
Angela Davis is beloved, detested, misunderstood. What can a lifelong radical teach the resistance generation?At age 75, the legendary activist has found controversy once again, this time over her support of Palestinian rights — a stance embraced by Ilhan Omar and others on the left.
Consulte Mais informação »
I toured the first residential building to open in Hudson Yards, NYC's new $25 billion neighborhood — and it was clear they're selling much more than just real estateI got a sneak peek of the amenities floors — including a 75-foot pool and a yoga studio — in a luxury residential tower in _HudsonYardsNYC
Consulte Mais informação »
VW’s shares are priced for EV self-destructionLikely cash flows to 2025 almost justify the carmaker’s 75 bln euro market value. Investors either think it’ll be worthless after then, or expect cratering combustion-engine sales and wasted investment in electric vehicles. Economies of scale mean that could be too pessimistic.
Consulte Mais informação »
Michael Cohen to Congress: 'I am not protecting Mr. Trump anymore'The former Trump attorney, who called the president a 'racist' and 'con man,' testified that Roger Stone had told Trump in advance about a WikiLeaks emails release that would hurt Hillary Clinton's campaign.
Consulte Mais informação »
Michael Cohen: 'I am ashamed because I know what Mr. Trump is'The president's former lawyer and fixer reveals documents he says show Trump’s net worth, as well as receipts of payments to Stormy Daniels.
Consulte Mais informação »