The Democratic golden boy’s career could be about to end in the most humiliating fashion
Yet the Democratic golden boy’s career could be about to end in the most humiliating fashion. He faces a recall vote on September 14th that the polls suggest Mr Newsom—who was elected by a 24-point margin less than three years ago—is even-money to lose. In the midst of a covid-19 spike, surging unemployment and homelessness, and some of the worst wildfires in California’s history, he has launched a $60m survival campaign.
This turn of fortune is especially remarkable because Mr Newsom does not obviously deserve it. His record is pretty much what one would expect of a California governor: a few progressive measures before covid-19 struck—including a boost to pro-poor tax credits and death penalty moratorium—then a painstakingly cautious pandemic response. Notwithstanding the irritation his lockdown measures have caused, his ratings have been positive for most of that time, and still are.
The main explanation is the madness of Californian direct democracy. Other states have ballot initiatives; the Golden State holds so many such “propositions” as well as referendums and recalls that its voters in effect represent a fourth branch of government. It was a system designed in the progressive era to check special interests. Because only a modest number of signatures are required to get an issue on the ballot, however, it has been captured by them.
Though most advocates of Mr Newsom’s removal are Republican, his covid-19 measures have got the goat of many independents and Democrats, too. “It’s been fraught,” he acknowledges. “I’ve had a dozen small businesses myself. I recognise that people are looking to cast aspersion and blame.” Alas, gilded princelings make tempting targets for such anger.
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