For now, Labour’s lead is still significant
Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer with parliamentary candidate Gen Kitchen ahead of the Wellingborough by-election on Thursday . His much-vaunted business conference was overshadowed by a row over bankers’ bonuses. Labour’s signature £28bn green investment pledge scaled back, and accusations of antisemitism within the party have begun to rear their head once more.
Perhaps most strikingly, even on these lower figures, according to seat-modelling site Electoral Calculus, Labour would still be on course for a majority of 92 seats. This shows the scale of the challenge that Rishi Sunak and the Conservatives still must And while by-elections are their own beasts and can exist within their own political ecosystems, these could be instructive. Eyes will particularly be on how viableis as an actual election fighting force, as a genuine threat from the right could have a major bearing on the Conservatives’ strategy.It’s not for me to say why our particular voter intention poll has grabbed the collective imagination while others have not.
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