The moderate middle is a myth. FiveThirtyEight explains:
on how they would vote in a 2020 match-up between President Trump and a generic Democrat.Despite some overlap among independents, moderates and undecided voters, each group is relatively distinct. However, this doesn’t necessarily mean there are cohesive ideological beliefsTo test this, I used policy questions from the same Voter Study Group survey to make two indexesmeasuring attitudes on economic policy and immigration.
But many people who call themselves “moderate” do not rate as moderate on policy issues. Just like self-identified independents, moderates come from all over the ideological space, including moderates who also identify as independent.But unlike independents, moderates are more likely to be Democrats. The average moderate in the Voter Study Group data is solidly center-left on both economic and immigration issues.
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