Twelve weeks into the season, the Miami Dolphins looked like one of the best offenses in the NFL under first-year head coach Mike McDaniel. Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa led the NFL in expected points added (EPA) per play and the Dolphins averaged 39 points and 447 offensive yards per game when Tagovailoa was under center. It was smooth sailing in South Beach as the Dolphins cruised to an 8-3 record and the top of the AFC East.
. It's the Dolphins' bread and butter — and it works when you have Hill and Waddle who can find gaps in the defense or go over the top. Meanwhile, Tagovailoa ranks 33rd in percentage of passes short or behind the line of scrimmage, and 28th in percentage of screen passes.
So the simplest solution for McDaniel is to scheme shorter routes for his pass catchers that either get them the ball in space — which is what, loves to do with the 49ers — and/or target the sidelines. The key here, too, is to get the ball out quickly, especially when you're throwing underneath or short. This also helps solve the press man problem at times because the Dolphins wouldn't rely on timing and defensive shifts.
The other part is that the Dolphins need to get the running game back on track. McDaniel was the 49ers' run game coordinator before Shanahan promoted him to offensive coordinator in 2021 and helped San Francisco deploy one of the most effective rushing offenses in the league. Part of that is on the personnel — the Dolphins’ leading rusher, Raheem Mostert, is averaging his fewest yards per rush and Jeff Wilson Jr. joined the team in November in a midseason trade. Miami’s running backs also aren’t receiving threats out of the backfield; Mostert ranks 35th in targets and 41st in receptions among running backs.
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