'The averages haven't really digested these latest gains, and like we saw last week, big moves higher can result in some serious stock market reflux,' he says.
"While he's not predicting a big decline, [analyst Mark Sebastian] thinks you should be prepare for choppy waters and perhaps a modest pullback," Jim Cramer says.
"Until we digest these recent gains, Sebastian predicts that the fear gauge will stay above 16 and this market's going to chop around," he says.warned. The VIX, dubbed the "fear gauge," and S&P 500 indexes typically run in opposite directions, Cramer explained. When they mirror one another, it tends to serve as a warning sign.
"While we've had a lot of turbulence, Sebastian's worried that the volatility index seems to be creeping up along with the stock market," Cramer said. In recent years, "every time the S&P's had a rapid rally that failed to really bring down the VIX ... it resulted in some sort of sell-off … The most notable one being the big blowup in January of 2018."
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