It feels like the end is near for big-budget cinematic RPGs.
The great western RPGs of my childhood were unapologetically nerdy things built on maths and dice rolls and complex systems—many borrowed from older tabletop RPGs. Your Baldur's Gates and your Ultimas were celebrated for their depth and creativity, not flash and spectacle. We've not quite come full circle, but the most striking RPGs of the moment seem to have that same spirit—not shying away from dense mechanics or true player agency, with plenty of nods to TTRPGs.
This move towards cinematic-style RPGs was really encapsulated by Mass Effect in 2007, splicing quests and dialogue trees with a third-person shooter full of cinematic flourishes. Shepard was nothing like the Bhaalspawn of Baldur's Gate, with strict limitations on how you could roleplay them. The Paragon/Renegade system and small number of class-based skills made for a much more approachable, streamlined RPG experience, but at the cost of freedom and self-expression.
CD Projekt Red, meanwhile, followed up the conclusion of its Witcher trilogy with the long-awaited Cyberpunk 2077, which has gone down in videogame history as one of the most disastrous launches ever. So bad that it had to be removed from the PlayStation store. It's an interesting case, as like Baldur's Gate its origins can be found in tabletop roleplaying.
That said, people still want all that flash and spectacle. Cyberpunk 2077's shockingly poor state at launch didn't stop it getting plenty of rave reviews and selling millions of copies. It's getting an expansion. More Witcher games are coming. BioWare's working on a new Mass Effect and a new Dragon Age. But I think we're at the tipping point.
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