Analysis: House Speaker Nancy Pelosi cast aside her caution and went for the I-word on Tuesday. But politics is much more tribal, primal even, than it was in the 1990s.
A week ago, the idea of impeachment proceedings against President Donald Trump was something that the most hotly combative Democrats wanted but the most coolly calculating Democrats did not. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, previously the lead voice of the skeptics, on Tuesday announced her about-face.
In the second instance, Republicans 21 years ago calculated that the solemn ritual of the impeachment process would create its own momentum to force Clinton from office, even though a clear majority of the public did not want this.
More likely is that a mostly party-line impeachment vote in the House would be followed by a party-line vote in the Senate, in which Republicans would have to carry their defense of what Democrats call indefensible into an election year. But, as Pelosi well knows, the politics of which-side-are-you-on are not always predictable. Gingrich in 1998 calculated that once the public was confronted with the seamy details of Clinton’s affair with young White House aide Monica S. Lewinsky, and the lies he told to the public and in judicial testimony to conceal his behavior, a wave of public revulsion would swell.
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