To beat Terry McAuliffe in next week’s race for governor of Virginia, Glenn Youngkin needs to close the deal with key groups of crossover voters and other segments of the electorate that keyed Virginia’s sharp break to the left in recent years
had the GOP nominee up by a whopping 8 points among likely voters, in a state President Joe Biden carried by 10 points a year ago.
The Fox News poll showed more Republicans are likely to vote than Democrats, while the polls that are tied show slightly more Democrats casting votes than Republicans. That makes the independents particularly important — and Youngkin has a clear advantage there.Youngkin has hung his campaign on education, and it’s working.
It fits with a national trend that suggests that Democrats’ traditional advantages on education have been eroded. In this week’s POLITICO/Morning Consult poll, slightly more voters nationally said they trusted Democrats in Congress to handle education than Republicans, 43 percent to 39 percent. Nine months ago, just as Biden’s presidency was beginning in late January, Democrats’ lead on that question in POLITICO/Morning Consult’s polling was much wider, 51 percent to 29 percent.
But the president’s current standing just isn’t what it was this time a year ago, when he won easily. Among likely voters in the Fox News poll, his approval rating is only 43 percent. And 14 percent of respondents who said they voted for Biden — a small but not-insignificant figure — now disapprove of his job performance.
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