Texas schools are now shrinking after 20 years of growth, raising stakes in school choice rivalry
Students and staff take in the rides and more on Beaumont Indepent School District's Fair Day at the YMBL South Texas State Fair on March 31, 2022. Nearly 2,500 elementary and middle schoolers converged on the fairgrounds for their first district-wide fair event.Texas public school enrollment has turned a corner after increasing consistently for about 20 years. It’s now expected to decline over the next decade, even as the state ranks as one of the fastest growing in the U.S.
The decrease is driven largely by Hispanic Texans having less children, said Lloyd Potter, director of the Institute for Demographic and Socioeconomic Research at the University of Texas at San Antonio. That demographic group for years had very high birth rates, he said, but it has slowed down significantly since 2007, although the rate remains higher than for other racial-ethnic groups.
“Now at the Morath household, we have four very young children. We are producing!” Morath joked at the hearing, drawing laughs. Texas’ enrollment growth in recent years has been driven by explosive growth in less than 100 suburban districts, Popinski said.have already seen decreases in enrollment, and corresponding budgetary problems.
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