A fund manager who's outshining 95% of his peers unpacks the secret weapons behind his top 2 tech stocks — and explains why he almost never invests in hot IPOs
He also pointed out that of all the companies that have come public over the years, only a handful grow to become juggernauts likeHistory backs up his assertion that the failure rate is high. According todata cited by CLSA, the length of time large-cap stocks have spent on the S&P 500 declined from 33 years on average in 1985 to 20 years as of 1990 — and it's projected to shrink to 14 years by 2026.
"That's why we haven't done an IPO in years," Golan said. "We need to see a proven business model that actually has a path to generate cash flow and profits, rather than something that might be based on hopes and dreams." The company was not the obvious growth winner that it is today; its stock was trading at nearly half of its dot-com-boom peak and essentially flatlined in the years that followed.
On top of these advantages, Golan was drawn to the collective vision of CEO Satya Nadella and CFO Amy Hood to position Microsoft for a cloud-based future. has been another major receiver of the cloud-computing bounty — and it's the second-largest holding in Golan's portfolio behind Microsoft. For all the disruption Amazon has wrought in retail, cloud computing is the heavyweight as it has contributed the most to operating income over the past four years. . As more eyeballs depart linear television stations for the internet, Golan thinks the ad dollars will flow in the direction of companies like Amazon.
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