Damaging winds and large hail are likely, with tornadoes also possible.
The CIPS Analog product highlights where similar past setups have produced severe weather during events like this. By Matthew Cappucci Matthew Cappucci Meteorologist, Capital Weather Gang Email Bio Follow April 8 at 4:21 PM The odds of a significant severe weather episode are increasing across portions of the Southern Plains, Deep South and Southeast late this week into Easter weekend as a potent storm system treks across the country.
There is also the potential for the Carolinas and Mid-Atlantic region to be affected on Monday, depending on the storm’s exact track. There will be a potential for severe thunderstorms on Saturday and Saturday Night. Make sure to stay up to date with the latest forecasts. Now is also a good time to review your severe weather safety plans. #txwx #dfwwx #ctxwx pic.twitter.com/D57iL7XgFM
The American GFS model shows dry air shunting moisture eastward this weekend. The clashing air masses could generate severe weather along and ahead of the boundary. The atmosphere will also be more conducive to tornadoes forming on Easter. Just a few thousand feet above the ground, a strong southerly low level jet stream will transport an uninterrupted moisture supply from the Gulf of Mexico, while at the mid-levels winds will be more southwesterly or westerly.
However, if the storm system lags behind a few hours later and approaches the Mid-Atlantic in the afternoon, another wave of strong to severe thunderstorms could be possible over the coastal Southeast, Carolinas and possibly into the Mid-Atlantic.
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